Ok…I have a little trouble posting this because I have stated several times in the last week that Georgia would not be an ‘open’ state. I gave my insight on why I thought McCain would safely win the state. Namely, a half a dozen polls that reflected it. However, InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff are usually pretty close with their predictions and numbers. Tom Baxter offers more in his article and certainly worth reading.

June 19, 2008 — A New InsiderAdvantage / PollPositionsurvey conducted June 18 of registered likely voters in the November presidential contest shows Sen. John McCain leading Sen. Barack Obama by a single point in Georgia, making the race in Georgia a statistical tie. Libertarian Bob Barr, a former Republican Congressman from Georgia, received 6 percent of the vote.  The telephone survey of 408 registered likely voters is weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 5%. It was conducted with InsiderAdvantage’s research partner Majority Opinion Research. PollPosition is InsiderAdvantage’s new branding name (look for additional information and expansion of PollPosition in the coming months). 

The Results:

McCain: 44%Obama: 43%

Barr: 6%

Undecided: 7%

Check here for crosstabs.

Continue reading here for more indepth analysis.